Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2661ff44fddbd0e36d9503251db0879babceb1e1c795f180c4712d7f713ca2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 5,931$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.53 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Yes | 58c | 3,376$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.77 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked No | 45c | 2,168$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 1,555$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.35 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 39c | 1,428$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.56 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 1,420$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.11 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed No | 44c | 1,226$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.8 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 1,066$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 44c | 1,057$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.02 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed No | 22c | 1,021$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 36c | 956.18$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.38 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 42c | 913.26$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 57c | 890.58$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 55c | 884.95$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 21c | 782.03$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed No | 43c | 579.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…3d5cbacked Yes | 39c | 499.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked No | 47c | 430.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Yes | 55c | 406.89$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 399.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 44c | 399.95$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 71c | 330.39$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 42c | 319.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed No | 29c | 313.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…b6e6backed No | 11c | 282.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 55c | 263.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 42c | 247$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Yes | 58c | 243.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 55c | 237.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 45c | 223.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 69c | 222.43$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 15c | 214.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 55c | 214.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 80c | 188.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 57c | 176.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…39babacked Yes | 46c | 174.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +15.0wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…1b98backed Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 51c | 164.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed No | 60c | 162.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 70c | 148.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked Yes | 56c | 144.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Yes | 67c | 139.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 55c | 124.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…ef42backed Yes | 73c | 124.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 58c | 118.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 59c | 117.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 44c | 110.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 46c | 105.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 56c | 102.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 12c | 102$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 43c | 99.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 55c | 99.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 99.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 43c | 98.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed Yes | 55c | 88.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked No | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 64c | 85.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 44c | 77.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 56c | 74.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6057…a553backed Yes | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 40c | 67.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 73c | 67.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 47c | 62.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 58c | 61.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 62c | 59.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed Yes | 58c | 58.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 61c | 56.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 55c | 54.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed No | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6167…a6cabacked Yes | 74c | 53.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 75c | 52.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed No | 22c | 51.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…c236backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 60c | 48.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked No | 63c | 48.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Yes | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Yes | 71c | 42.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…405abacked Yes | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed No | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…5413backed No | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…17bbbacked Yes | 55c | 35.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.