Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcabe0e4ad01c8047e34fff72fca35fe5dd036197b8b2c70cb7b3ff061dbbe5fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Over | 53c | 29,948$15,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,972.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 43c | 19,239$8,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,009.08 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 12,449$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.94 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 10,052$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.59 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Under | 51c | 6,373$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.36 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 5,291$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.14 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.86 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 57c | 3,418$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…3399backed Over | 57c | 2,361$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 48c | 1,996$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.85 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 35c | 1,925$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.45 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 63c | 1,862$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Over | 51c | 1,834$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 63c | 1,660$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.38 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,432$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.33 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 1,424$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.95 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 46c | 1,367$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.27 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 36c | 1,363$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 36c | 1,355$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 1,316$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.77 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…b5c4backed Over | 55c | 1,231$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Under | 44c | 966.4$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 43c | 965.8$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.51 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 52c | 964.35$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.67 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 63c | 954.52$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.35 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 64c | 908.04$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.89 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 43c | 846.59$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 36c | 801.33$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 59c | 799.98$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Under | 52c | 798.12$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 763.75$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 763.69$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.84 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 51c | 737.33$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 715.33$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.72 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 64c | 703.84$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.38 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 656.72$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.65 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 57c | 643.33$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 34c | 634.91$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 62c | 616.63$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 42c | 602.13$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 57c | 601.81$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.18 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 36c | 595.66$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.44 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 47c | 569.41$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.62 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed Over | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 499.7$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.01 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 58c | 489.2$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…3d5cbacked Over | 50c | 487$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 469.88$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 36c | 454.09$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 48c | 444.35$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 36c | 427.7$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 57c | 399.97$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x569c…140dbacked Under | 59c | 395.57$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 55c | 392.26$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 390.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 42c | 386.05$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 47c | 363.71$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 70c | 356.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 57c | 352.08$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 49c | 330.32$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 36c | 323.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 66c | 311.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 61c | 306.01$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 66c | 291.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Over | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 35c | 288.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…569ebacked Under | 65c | 278$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 48c | 275.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 40c | 256.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.71 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Over | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 73c | 251.05$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…b709backed Under | 52c | 246.54$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Under | 50c | 226.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…ba5fbacked Under | 48c | 212.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 59c | 201.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 55c | 200.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 49c | 199.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…f5f0backed Over | 45c | 195.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…9997backed Over | 60c | 189.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 49c | 189.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 36c | 186.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 63c | 186.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 57c | 183.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 57c | 179.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 57c | 179.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…0e9ebacked Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Under | 71c | 175.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 38c | 169.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 57c | 169.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.