TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc274…6d59

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT6144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.1
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.86
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.06
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.81
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.58
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.48
Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.17
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.55
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.28
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.7
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.73
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.28
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$409.77
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.27
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+169.7%+$169.68
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$134.87
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$94.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.28
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.68
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$69.29
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$67.71
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$305.45
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$67.22
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$184.06
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$614.27
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$789.69
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.86
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$190.27
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.11
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.63
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$75.2
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.1
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$122.54
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$43.61
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+90.7%+$914.34
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$229.19
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,612.69
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$327.27
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+626%+$1,220.61
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$699
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+65.2%+$130.32
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.4%+$347.3
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$130.23
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$86.06
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$51.1
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. USC Trojansbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+98.4%+$367.53
UCLA Bruins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$87.79
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$64.6
Florida Gators vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.3%+$86.53
Grambling State Tigers vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Coppin State Eagles vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+145.3%+$211.38
Miami Hurricanes vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$339.77
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Longwood Lancersbacked Longwood Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.4%+$94.77
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolvesbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Alcorn State Braves vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$474.47
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.56
Will Atlético Madrid win Copa Del Rey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$125.07
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.6
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$74.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+108.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+175.2%+$588.09
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.9%+$122.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.