La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ca95519e5277fa72cd098efa1faa0c695788716cc0ae037bbb9f7ad5d5b5478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Osasunaof Athletic Club, CA Osasuna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed CA Osasuna | 75c | 2,383$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed CA Osasuna | 63c | 1,968$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.65 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletic Club | 34c | 1,419$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.71 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Athletic Club | 37c | 780.16$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Osasuna | 71c | 769.42$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…33e9backed Athletic Club | 25c | 701.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Athletic Club | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked CA Osasuna | 73c | 634.96$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Athletic Club | 30c | 572.35$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CA Osasuna | 60c | 490.93$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed CA Osasuna | 60c | 390.39$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Athletic Club | 25c | 388.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Athletic Club | 34c | 299.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletic Club | 26c | 266.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Athletic Club | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked CA Osasuna | 77c | 256.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Athletic Club | 32c | 242.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Athletic Club | 25c | 221.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed CA Osasuna | 75c | 213.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Athletic Club | 31c | 211.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…09afbacked CA Osasuna | 76c | 200.09$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Athletic Club | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…34efbacked Athletic Club | 31c | 156.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Athletic Club | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Athletic Club | 26c | 117.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Athletic Club | 18c | 107.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Athletic Club | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Athletic Club | 26c | 99.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Athletic Club | 32c | 98.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Osasuna | 72c | 97.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed CA Osasuna | 74c | 97.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Athletic Club | 43c | 87.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed CA Osasuna | 76c | 85.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Athletic Club | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Athletic Club | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CA Osasuna | 68c | 84.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CA Osasuna | 80c | 79.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Athletic Club | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked CA Osasuna | 73c | 74.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Athletic Club | 39c | 67.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Athletic Club | 22c | 66.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Athletic Club | 27c | 64.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed CA Osasuna | 65c | 61.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked CA Osasuna | 65c | 61.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA Osasuna | 73c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked CA Osasuna | 60c | 55.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Athletic Club | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CA Osasuna | 73c | 52.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9765backed Athletic Club | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Athletic Club | 29c | 45.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed CA Osasuna | 73c | 45.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Athletic Club | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked CA Osasuna | 62c | 43.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Athletic Club | 26c | 42.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Athletic Club | 32c | 39.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed Athletic Club | 43c | 30.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Athletic Club | 35c | 30.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CA Osasuna | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked CA Osasuna | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CA Osasuna | 74c | 25.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed CA Osasuna | 65c | 24.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed CA Osasuna | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked CA Osasuna | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Osasuna | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed CA Osasuna | 73c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked CA Osasuna | 65c | 15.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed CA Osasuna | 72c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed CA Osasuna | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)this page
- Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.