TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,270 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c5,984$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.834,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Over40c5,198$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c2,454$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.293,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over74c2,432$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.817731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Over74c2,180$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under38c1,853$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e19…bd99backed Over56c1,252$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under22c1,194$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.4790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe937…d46abacked Over61c1,074$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.031361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under51c1,056$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.615339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c1,042$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.371,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Over62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under26c999.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over74c779.54$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.864170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under26c660.3$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.52,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under37c504.76$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.725050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Over27c502.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.210343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over43c482.86$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.972240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe997…88aabacked Over72c478.01$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under26c460$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba9…3455backed Over26c427.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1250%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b43…0f61backed Under45c423.73$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under73c404.22$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.146235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over67c395$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.652766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under59c378.53$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under26c361$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.728041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19523255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under32c296.84$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.851643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over55c277.49$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.625149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over64c273.81$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.193145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over53c253.01$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.872433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over34c248.85$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2318656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over27c243.83$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8361657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over73c242.71$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.081675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under26c238.52$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over56c238.46$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.547440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.615451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c218.74$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over72c205.17$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.733751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over70c196.4$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.486764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under13c182.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1311819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over41c181.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9522729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over27c178.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.817128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Under10c167.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.11861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c161.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7213251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over49c146.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.743154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over69c142.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.145166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over71c140$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.44082.5%33 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5184…a654backed Over75c131.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over78c120$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over53c119.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.173033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x53f2…defdbacked Over47c118.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over73c108.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4742458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under62c105.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under18c100.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.413215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under26c100.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7537348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506650%33 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.549423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…f450backed Over74c93.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.911172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…4a88backed Over67c90.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under27c85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.691,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Under13c77.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.812128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Over68c69.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.581457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over71c69.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.133951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over74c66.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2210041%41 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over62c60.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.733964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under45c59.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over62c55.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.23842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Over72c54.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.391877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+86%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x37e6…2269backed Over50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Under48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af1…3a58backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over55c49.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2438748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42f7…91aabacked Over50c48.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under26c46.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.161,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Under61c45.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over68c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6511769.2%81 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Under32c44.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.581070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over66c44.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0922366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa221…84e9backed Over72c43.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over79c43.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3224344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under68c43.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over57c39.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.753565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under42c37.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.646060%36 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c8…bac9backed Under33c36.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under47c35.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6228138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over55c35.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.264942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over74c31.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6812958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over75c31.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.886464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over79c29.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a4…e797backed Over52c28.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.082166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over69c28.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-40.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Over74c26.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.691450%7 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8c4…a072backed Over43c26.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over49c24.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under45c23.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.767949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over65c22.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6921457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.