TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd154…9982backed Over0c18,801$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under52c13,440$6,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,452.69028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c8,798$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.444,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under52c6,924$3,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.791450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over46c3,558$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.6917731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over48c3,028$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.26550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over49c2,968$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.111444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under53c2,802$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.56858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd456…aba4backed Over41c2,347$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over48c2,018$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.83525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under52c1,918$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.741968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over19c1,534$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.971,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over18c1,214$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.148153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c979.04$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.372,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over48c974.92$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.961353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under53c916.8$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.896848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c903.58$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.7264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under54c871.59$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.979564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c850.19$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under53c814.31$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.8524344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over35c781.75$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.092240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over49c751.66$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3711929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under45c716.52$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.334247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over58c702.99$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under68c667.13$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9541751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over62c610.68$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.171163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c576.77$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0199933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under77c570.17$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over48c544.95$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.581844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under52c506$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.884334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under73c490.91$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1813251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over35c480.5$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1810820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over53c462.78$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.915841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over44c425.33$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1417562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.769833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under67c394.9$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.921,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Under62c392.06$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.987936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under53c373.31$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.666657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over55c363.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.963534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over17c344.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.963831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Over54c341.66$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.764845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked Over43c310$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.12250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under45c305.73$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.859134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over15c299.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.613230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Over49c273.01$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under54c271.34$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.511747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over25c244.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5810127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under52c224.12$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5813426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over48c221.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.454445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over9c220.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.293215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6415451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over41c208.31$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0116363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c205.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.663,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under58c200.7$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8623957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9615344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Over51c193.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.894452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2417458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over27c168.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.993850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Under61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.441560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under46c141$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1420142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c137.38$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1975451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c130.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.371,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Over38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over27c123.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6422729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…2269backed Over42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under55c103.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.593751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c101.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d0…468abacked Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.995461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec1…b73fbacked Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over16c94.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1738748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc766…1533backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.821136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under53c92.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.396334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Under53c91.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.121741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.598041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under67c82.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over39c82.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.137348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under53c79.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.454245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under70c78.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under55c74.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7411449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over43c74.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8422553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under75c72.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.242857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over33c71.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2683939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under42c71.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3120241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fb…e34ebacked Under55c70.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.843256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over35c70.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6620253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under59c66.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.196456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.062619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.