La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35dee597ca540e894067ab30a2da80029a1197c7b7454cb93a717197400f3e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 1c | 4,779$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 2,580$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.04 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 1,103$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 26c | 1,042$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.72 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 73c | 768.28$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 605.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 20c | 576.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 29c | 409.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 349.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 25c | 263.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 245.64$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c4…89cfbacked Over | 34c | 226.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 25c | 207.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 21c | 182$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 73c | 180.19$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 178.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 34c | 175.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 16c | 175.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 23c | 163.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 26c | 127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 116.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…25e1backed Over | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Under | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 74c | 97.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…150fbacked Under | 74c | 91.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…8f3fbacked Over | 27c | 90.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 19c | 88.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 23c | 81.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 176 | 63.1%111 W · 65 L | +32.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…f6a1backed Under | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Under | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…1941backed Over | 28c | 67.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…41ddbacked Under | 74c | 65.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 72c | 64.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 24c | 42.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…13febacked Under | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 71c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…65c0backed Under | 74c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd478…0921backed Under | 76c | 16.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 74c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…329bbacked Under | 80c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Under | 71c | 14.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.