TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb00d…af5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Asian League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$206.25
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$3,370.58
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.06
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,589.96
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$65.2
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,663.25
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.11
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$395.89
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.81
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$378.11
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.64
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,347Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$1,652.49
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,495.16
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,549Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104%+$2,651.5
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.79
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,672Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,099.76
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$407.5
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,700
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$541.07
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,600
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$5,500
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,852.28
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.3
Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)backed Sandefjord Fotball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$28.55
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,444.59
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,470
Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$59.45
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$109.19
SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$43.23
Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$243.79
Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.75
Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,492.59
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.93
Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.4
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$955.8
FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$159.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$222.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,495Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$1,005
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$42.07
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,140
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.5
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$311.11
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$2,060.79
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$981.32
Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.17
Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$155.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-73.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+76.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$1,050.49
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.