TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c9,488$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,873.078,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over52c5,192$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7004843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over24c4,810$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.041,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over3c4,500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c3,500$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.335,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c2,283$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.111,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under45c1,928$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.2310250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Under49c1,623$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.732352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over34c1,378$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.2319447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c1,258$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.541,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under58c1,233$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.8629037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under36c1,183$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.475837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c1,040$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.812,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over51c1,000$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.0720046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Over48c998.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.521656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under56c873.02$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0411338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb341…88e7backed Under37c800$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under61c631.83$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over45c628.2$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3626835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00da…d262backed Under50c596$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd2…9a46backed Over52c513$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over41c509.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.727342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over44c483.45$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over44c452.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…e863backed Over50c429.09$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.191040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over41c420.1$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5448547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over38c385.55$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7319135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under51c371.02$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.422,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Over43c358.33$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.462142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over52c329.31$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2412940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under67c323.03$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0316051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under55c322$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over65c307.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over52c289.46$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.523151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under51c288.26$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.331758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1636…977bbacked Under51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c251.17$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.262,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over43c248.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9412156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over42c221.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked Over43c213.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.023836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under48c207.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.144443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7098…1d97backed Under57c201.89$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Over51c196.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.011758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae4…011ebacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c185.37$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7721752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over46c182.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4417051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d2…510abacked Over23c175$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.861020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under66c173.64$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.158755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under51c172.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.553658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under63c170.19$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9721044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under59c170.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.044944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Under76c165.57$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under48c164.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.381675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over51c149.25$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.122650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over41c135.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.241,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Under58c133.24$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.969447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under29c128.88$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.56624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under43c123.26$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.267549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6a…ef21backed Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over35c117.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6935046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over45c110$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.216349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1d…3fa1backed Under68c102.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.671478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c102$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.042,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397463.5%47 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x607d…f414backed Over58c94.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8148…cc31backed Over48c86.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c84.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8251750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under42c78.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.31741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c75.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.11,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c1…b35ebacked Under78c73.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over62c72.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.565046%23 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over52c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over52c68.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.434753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over33c65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Under63c63.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over52c63.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.943339.4%13 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over42c61.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c59.35$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.453,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb00b…f17fbacked Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under67c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3335240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under43c55.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.556349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252931%9 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over54c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.165248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ae…96fabacked Over40c52.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x149d…0ecfbacked Over50c51.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Over39c50.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under43c50.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.634938.8%19 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2678756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under55c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.47241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under63c48.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9263061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.