South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f1c1a87c960a8f92e97bf7eea563acc632675a3e08c1fa07b49b0d0badb7c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 2,818$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 74c | 2,398$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.27 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 24c | 2,163$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.07 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 1,532$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.55 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 24c | 958.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…cd9ebacked Over | 70c | 719.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 75c | 661.28$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 76c | 646.11$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 61c | 499.53$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 79c | 476.18$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…92d2backed Over | 77c | 295.05$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 72c | 268.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 28c | 267.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 20c | 238.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 66c | 204.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 30c | 201.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 169.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 76c | 126.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 28c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 77.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 76c | 48.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 28c | 40.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 37c | 36.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 72c | 26.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…df5dbacked Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 76c | 24.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 76c | 21.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Over | 76c | 19.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Over | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 76c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…27dfbacked Over | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: CA Mineiro 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: CA Mineiro 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: CA Mineiro O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: CA Mineiro O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.