TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ee5…5e7d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16366.3%108 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$126.96
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$50.49
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$209.09
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.34
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$147.91
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$123.13
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+27%+$70.2
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$100
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Grêmio FBPA O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$30.04
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.49
CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.