Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97dc050423473a2b6fa82ee2f56b2bc25986463c70de1067f7fdfa32aafe2367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 1,824$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.07 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,761$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.52 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 1,707$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.54 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 4c | 402.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 61c | 333.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 332.17$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 66c | 220$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 120.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 101.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 84.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 64c | 75.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 28c | 66.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 62c | 51.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 32c | 51.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 50c | 46.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4b…5e23backed Yes | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 33c | 31.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 57c | 26.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.