Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa61ab6f60dc73eb51e9a349a06fabc7a7929e5c578a9f84ae68ad53cc35e29c4

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,756 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	55c	9,971$5,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,522.52	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	48c	9,500$4,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,559.99	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	51c	1,961$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.14	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over	6c	1,948$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.79	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	21c	1,942$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.56	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	53c	1,719$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.88	382	46.1%176 W · 206 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over	62c	1,276$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.14	35	68.6%24 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	44c	1,025$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.76	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	44c	905.91$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.81	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Over	58c	860$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.8	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	66cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	44c	786.4$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.82	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	15c	645.39$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.81	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Over	48c	499.99$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	38c	485.44$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.11	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	69c	474.98$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.86	483	44.9%217 W · 266 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	35c	338.25$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.28	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	33c	338$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.46	355	50.4%179 W · 176 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	44c	320$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.8	871	54.6%476 W · 395 L	+34.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	36c	291.76$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.61	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Under	61c	289.74$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.95	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+116.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under	35c	285.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.71	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under	78c	256.76$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.48	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	76cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	51c	250$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.61	273	44.3%121 W · 152 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	67c	235.39$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.59	1,270	48%610 W · 660 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	34c	234.39$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.67	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	61c	207.58$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.94	196	41.3%81 W · 115 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.1	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+6.8wins	+0.25per pick	34cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	50c	173.69$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.05	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under	32c	168.46$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.55	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	59c	161.56$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.83	461	56.2%259 W · 202 L	+13.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over	66c	153.96$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.61	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under	58c	103.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.45	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over	30c	102.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.27	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over	48c	99.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-4.8wins	-0.27per pick	43cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	33c	96$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	59c	95$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.95	109	57.8%63 W · 46 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	53c	93.12$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.82	228	41.7%95 W · 133 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under	51c	89.67$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.26	171	37.4%64 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Over	69c	86.96$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	68cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under	58c	86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.16	73	67.1%49 W · 24 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under	61c	83.01$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.04	134	64.9%87 W · 47 L	+17.1wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under	69c	82.3$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.51	44	70.5%31 W · 13 L	+5.4wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	53c	78.79$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.19	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Under	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Under	63c	77.92$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.83	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed Over	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	60cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over	62c	72.78$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.34	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+197%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under	74c	70.79$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.27	172	44.8%77 W · 95 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Under	47c	70$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.1	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.21per pick	31cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8955…3a83backed Under	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under	60c	69.5$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.8	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	59c	62.15$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.77	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	67c	61.11$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.28	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	39c	60.38$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.53	287	21.6%62 W · 225 L	-29.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	54c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	145	49.7%72 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d23…53d3backed Over	18c	59.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed6c…4eb1backed Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+59.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	50c	56.32$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.27	239	53.6%128 W · 111 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked Under	39c	51.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.31	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	61c	51.33$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.31	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	55c	48$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	202	52%105 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	29c	47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	443	50.6%224 W · 219 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb561…5fd9backed Over	54c	38.31$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6b…3a4cbacked Over	58c	37.69$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	65c	35.25$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	-9.9wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	53c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	472	40.7%192 W · 280 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under	35c	31.92$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.75	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under	69c	31.18$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.67	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	75cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfd…e3fcbacked Under	56c	31$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.64	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69e…75d7backed Under	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f65…ec56backed Over	66c	29.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.5wins	-0.51per pick	71cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Under	58c	28.22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.93	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.31per pick	49cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over	40c	28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over	66c	24.06$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-6.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd428…ebc1backed Over	66c	22.84$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e6b…172abacked Over	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5this page
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 0.5Over won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 1.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event