TailMyPicks
Market

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Under58c51,746$29,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,902.194261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over42c15,132$6,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,338.261,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over44c10,310$4,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,505.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c7,000$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97526345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c5,348$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.731,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under53c5,338$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.531656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c4,307$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.041,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over42c3,773$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.6635550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over43c3,686$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58519044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under59c3,645$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.341963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c3,518$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.23,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over41c2,900$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.8112951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Over42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over43c1,917$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.364348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over42c1,847$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.546250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over43c1,733$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.1710042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c1,670$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.2171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over42c1,666$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.1314652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over51c1,243$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.4738246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over42c1,176$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7320043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over42c926$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39136247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under58c858.83$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.842755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over41c699.96$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.983268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over42c515.95$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.752639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Under59c496.72$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.932860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under64c440.68$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6848344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under76c418.04$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6636646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over42c417$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1413948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c318.96$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under75c311.69$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9122042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under57c305$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.726450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over60c270$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16217137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under76c246.03$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8331446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under78c227$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.927344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under54c224.48$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0480249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over31c203.31$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5699340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8617751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c179$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7196756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Over42c140.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.851931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under44c138.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9319641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Under58c128.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over43c128$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0427047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Under59c122.95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.412055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over42c111$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6218456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over42c99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.582055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Under59c98.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.333262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Over42c98.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.17862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over45c94.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1739435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under58c84.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.62458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under58c84.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.65068%34 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Under58c84.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.62060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Under58c83.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c82.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.251,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over50c75.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.631158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c74.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.031,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35cf…6fabbacked Over28c74.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over59c74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6612346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over42c72.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.510848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.17634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over22c67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.928721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under65c56.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1282044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over42c55.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.193435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over44c55.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247339.7%29 W · 44 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over43c54.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.448129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over43c51.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.520252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.167256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over42c46.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6514957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8810257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over43c39.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9812848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over42c35.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.815525.5%14 W · 41 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9644447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Under58c33.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under58c33.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1816948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Under58c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10af…2d06backed Under58c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Under58c32.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.773557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under58c32.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7616744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under54c31.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.54148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under57c30.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over42c29.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.314470.5%31 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c28.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1173438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Over42c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Over43c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Over43c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over42c27.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.464050%20 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8af…9426backed Under55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252969%20 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Over42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Under59c19.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.062060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under53c19.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.249742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.