TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4e13…e968

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+532.9%+$1,684
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.69
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$120.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.6
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.25
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.84
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.2
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$529.97
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$36.72
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+212.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winnerbacked HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$372
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddybacked John · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$72.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club León FC vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.