Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87951cf24263311c3370168c79a1ea4c8e623412802d532642b249a47f4aa901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,516$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.89 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 14c | 2,412$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.49 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 36c | 958.76$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.03 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 67c | 728.86$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.62 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 65c | 700$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 62c | 540.26$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.69 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Yes | 71c | 449$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed No | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 39c | 337.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed No | 32c | 329.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 28c | 299.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 68c | 247.1$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 37c | 244.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 42c | 221.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 65c | 218.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 27c | 218.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 18c | 213.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed Yes | 75c | 196.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 20c | 181.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…eec5backed No | 12c | 176$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 35c | 170.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 16c | 166$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 71c | 165.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 34c | 164.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 68c | 145.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 137.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 49c | 136.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 46c | 126.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 122.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…a75ebacked Yes | 63c | 117.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 15c | 115$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…bd3cbacked Yes | 62c | 114.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 110.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 36c | 110.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 30c | 105.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 62c | 104$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 37c | 101.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…fdaabacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 11c | 96.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 41c | 95.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 32c | 93.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked No | 28c | 93.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 28c | 87.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 15c | 84.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 34c | 83.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 72c | 79.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 48c | 78.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 29c | 77.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 28c | 77.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 36c | 76.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 23c | 71.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 48c | 70.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 34c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 59c | 61.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed No | 20c | 59.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…ab27backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…b31ebacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed No | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 30c | 46.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…aea7backed No | 28c | 44.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 79c | 44.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 39c | 44.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 29c | 41.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 54c | 41.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 49c | 39.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…41adbacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 65c | 38.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 55c | 34.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…4f19backed No | 46c | 33.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 79c | 33.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 67c | 32.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 41c | 32.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…7870backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4a…4f4dbacked Yes | 61c | 28.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 60c | 26.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…1f77backed Yes | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…0968backed Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.