TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6dc…71a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 63 out of 100; worst Weather at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-6.6wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-53.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
Weather — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$355
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.73
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.77
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.65
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.93
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.88
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+277.9%+$441.22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.84
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-39.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$876
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$426
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.87
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$279
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$218.7
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.82
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.39
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.1
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.32
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.37per pick54cpaid+70.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.7
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Jaqueline Amorim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.5
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.6
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.84
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.12
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.27
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.8
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.8
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.16
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.6
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.98
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.33
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.65
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Northern Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.