Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde02f529a5879d58084bff055813e6d16ff8af852220eeec3573947cf9cbf617
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 21c | 3,654$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.8 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 23c | 2,430$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.33 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 37c | 2,386$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.62 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 30c | 2,029$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.64 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,641$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 74c | 1,440$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.42 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,406$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.24 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…8ae7backed Yes | 32c | 849.18$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed No | 68c | 686$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked No | 73c | 546.58$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 46c | 510.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.8 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 7c | 493.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 25c | 458.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 441$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 1,045 | 34.6%362 W · 683 L | -93.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 18c | 388.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 33c | 366$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 365.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes | 24c | 364.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab2…676ebacked Yes | 28c | 350$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 16c | 264.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed No | 74c | 246.62$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 357 | 50.4%180 W · 177 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…ab03backed Yes | 7c | 201.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…a1ecbacked Yes | 27c | 201$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 11c | 193.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 304 | 38.8%118 W · 186 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 77c | 180.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…ef57backed Yes | 32c | 178.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 22c | 174.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 72c | 151.39$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 69c | 147.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 27c | 147.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 25c | 142.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…2ab7backed Yes | 15c | 131.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…db62backed No | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 19c | 128$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 45c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…d5d4backed Yes | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 66c | 106.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 34c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Yes | 53c | 103.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…c90bbacked No | 75c | 102.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 100.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1773…8c09backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…a514backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +199.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…5742backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0493…8d1cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…8c8dbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…92dbbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216d…a4e1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb9…badebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…0753backed No | 76c | 99.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 12c | 95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked No | 73c | 94.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked No | 63c | 91.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b60…88f7backed No | 76c | 89.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…9943backed No | 76c | 86.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 62c | 84.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked Yes | 22c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…09d5backed Yes | 24c | 73.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…1cecbacked Yes | 31c | 72.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…3b52backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 22c | 67.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…61dcbacked No | 45c | 67.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084a…2a51backed Yes | 21c | 66.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed No | 79c | 63.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…3225backed No | 76c | 61.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 29c | 60.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 50c | 59.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…34d0backed Yes | 24c | 54.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 54.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c00fbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…dab9backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…e85ebacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…2807backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…0564backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd059…4bd5backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b9…a41ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…0f6ebacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cad…d424backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…614abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…01d8backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…aaefbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…b20bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2f…1498backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?this page
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.