Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6ca150ed66ee19c06d9b993dfab2dc65b8750d6f0f15bf287a33a9b1e1df549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 38c | 3,282$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.59 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 72c | 2,977$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.78 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 42c | 2,649$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.14 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 29c | 2,176$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.34 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,863$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.47 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +93%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe37b…639dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,166$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +197%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…b1e6backed Yes | 66c | 628.57$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 26c | 614.04$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 46c | 595.35$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.01 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…ec81backed No | 55c | 363.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 63c | 350$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked No | 56c | 339.66$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 29c | 312$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 70c | 291.67$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…8ae7backed Yes | 64c | 283.71$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 28c | 282.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 275$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…8b8bbacked No | 67c | 255.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 78c | 245.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 202.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 33c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 36c | 162.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…2c73backed No | 64c | 147$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 44c | 126.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 125.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked Yes | 44c | 109.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…8c8dbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 38c | 87.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 52c | 87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…8c47backed Yes | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…7e36backed No | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 33c | 66.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…00d7backed No | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed No | 77c | 51.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…dc08backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…f5ffbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…1765backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…ba8cbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…fe3abacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5c…db6dbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…8970backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +12.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed No | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…01d8backed No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…665ebacked No | 29c | 46.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 54c | 25.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…c229backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…398fbacked Yes | 72c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?this page
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.