Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f21809112472c9ebea7cd9b138e66cb9ee8ddb63182dbf9c2a5b9bd00f8bcdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 60c | 6,368$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.73 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 28c | 3,126$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 31c | 1,906$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.01 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 23c | 1,772$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.43 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…8ae7backed Yes | 70c | 1,294$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 1,290$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 21c | 1,249$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.85 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 1,200$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.24 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 73c | 999.99$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 23c | 845.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.19 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +93%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes | 69c | 838.46$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.47 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 33c | 836.58$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 31c | 829.69$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.27 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 76c | 819$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 73c | 699.99$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 36c | 672.54$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.86 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…8b8bbacked No | 68c | 670$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…d131backed No | 70c | 545.4$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 481.63$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.33 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 5c | 481$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed No | 72c | 430$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.1 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 21c | 356.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 341.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc881…9f44backed Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 38c | 298.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 17c | 280.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…b1e6backed Yes | 75c | 272.7$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7a…1a97backed Yes | 74c | 259.76$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 69c | 255$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b5fbacked No | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…8c47backed Yes | 64c | 243.25$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed No | 8c | 227.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 31c | 217$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 69c | 199.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…2ab7backed No | 17c | 183.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes | 15c | 160.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…00d7backed No | 76c | 155$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…2fafbacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 37c | 147.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 62c | 146.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 44c | 143.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1773…8c09backed Yes | 28c | 133.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 73c | 130.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 66c | 126.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…a514backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +199.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…211cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…d89abacked Yes | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed No | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 26c | 93.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…1229backed Yes | 80c | 91.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked No | 64c | 90.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764c…fa01backed No | 17c | 84.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 57c | 83.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x097d…6f83backed Yes | 79c | 79.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 30c | 77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 37c | 74.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…bb92backed Yes | 71c | 70.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…fdd6backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 79c | 63.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…0507backed Yes | 37c | 56.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes | 25c | 55.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…b16ebacked Yes | 31c | 52.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…2b8cbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…0564backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…79f6backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…cdc7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…344dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +116%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…de1abacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d42backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1a8ebacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…f2f5backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…8c88backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…c967backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…fe1dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c1…de09backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…1c29backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb60f…1ab0backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f76ebacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2accbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed Yes | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 30.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…857fbacked Yes | 71c | 29.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…9aa1backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…54f1backed No | 75c | 22.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?this page
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.