TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f08…54d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
519
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 64 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT8552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.37
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$28.68
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.93
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.93
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$55.3
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.04
Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$334.61
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.18
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.55
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.94
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.13
Will the People Power Party win 0 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.49
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5961%36 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.1
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.62
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$33.79
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$95.98
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.12
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$68.28
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$18.79
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.96
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.69
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$244.11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.88
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.87
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.8
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5442.6%23 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$95.63
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$91.74
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.02
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.47
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.55
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$30.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.2
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.85
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.04
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.41
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+220.6%+$143.34
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT5341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.07
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.26
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$92.78
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.81
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$33.39
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.93
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$22.1
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$62.61
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+148.7%+$124.55
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.54
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.23
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$73.07
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.16
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$76.71
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.72
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.24
Will Ukraine win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.36
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$175.29
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$47.39
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 100 and 124 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.23
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.93
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.49
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16
Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$42.47
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.66
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.96
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+64%+$124.55
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$318.75
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.48
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.91
Will Chris Swanson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.66
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.16
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.53
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.83
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$47.2
Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.16
Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.73
Will Mai Vang advance from the CA-07 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.53
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$28.53
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.03
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.52
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.85
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.36
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$55.6
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.98
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.88
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$96.45
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.59
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.93
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$29.99
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$59.89
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.83
Will Lucien Dodge as Akaza (Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.92
Will Abhishek Sharma as Jinshi (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Hindi) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Charles Emmanuel as Akaza (Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$39.54
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$47.95
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+87%+$28.76
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.92
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.16
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$71.02
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$155.07
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.67
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.76
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$25.59
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$385.71
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.77
Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.42
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.92
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.42
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58%+$27.39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$33.07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.36
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.41
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.28
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Major US official out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.93
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.13
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.32
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.95
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$47.79
Will Dick Durbin vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Tim Kaine vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$56.07
Will Chris Coons vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$33.2
Will Susan Collins vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 23 - March 29 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 29 be less than 2,600,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.31
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 29 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the DHS shutdown last 44 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.36
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will between 8000-8500 US flights be delayed on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 25 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will less than 5000 US flights be delayed on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
All 25 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.57
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.38
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.99
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.78
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$24.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.89
Will Seattle have between 3.5 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Major solar storm by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.87
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.09
Will there be at least 1575 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
All 16 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.39per pick52cpaid+103.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.75
Will Hong Kong have between 200-210mm of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$80.23
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+303.4%+$425.96
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.54
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$14.36
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.85
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$45.94
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.94
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$75.97
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.3
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.59
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.9
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.95
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$61.18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.66
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.47
Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.23
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.1
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$23.67
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.32
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.42
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$198.46
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$37.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.15
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.47
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.23
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.07
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.77
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.48
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+154.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.05
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$233.55
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$42.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudovbacked Makhmudov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.