World Politics · resolved market
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa20656cfaabda288e3d94c1db790f1a6e4ad0f7b277403df976f0d44cd1c94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 50c | 1,369$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 1c | 1,315$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,110$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 48c | 681.7$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…1e34backed No | 79c | 630.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed Yes | 75c | 581.61$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.77 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 71c | 512.92$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 54c | 452.1$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 2c | 448.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed No | 34c | 442$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.27 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed Yes | 67c | 432.44$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 15c | 422.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…d58bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…e939backed Yes | 6c | 340$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked No | 56c | 307.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 35c | 293$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed No | 70c | 283.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 17c | 273$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 10c | 268$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 20c | 266.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…841bbacked Yes | 42c | 223.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Yes | 35c | 202.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 30c | 198.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…b33fbacked Yes | 77c | 193.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 41c | 192.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 25c | 149.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…59cfbacked No | 74c | 135.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…3adfbacked Yes | 66c | 132.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 123.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 119.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…262dbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed No | 73c | 97.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…5991backed Yes | 66c | 94.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 16c | 84.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 26c | 84.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8467…f9e4backed Yes | 29c | 80.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 34c | 75.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 69c | 72.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 72c | 71.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…e426backed Yes | 55c | 66.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 57.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 35c | 56.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 68c | 54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked Yes | 25c | 52.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…a246backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 33c | 47.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c0…bbe8backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed No | 70c | 43.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 71c | 41.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ea5abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa883…31fbbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…c14bbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 70c | 37.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19e…1db7backed Yes | 53c | 36.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…2e45backed No | 58c | 33.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…d17cbacked Yes | 48c | 31.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…390bbacked No | 69c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…4cd1backed Yes | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de7…1e31backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 60c | 19.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 70c | 16.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 61c | 16.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?this page
- Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No won
- Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes won
- Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No won
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.