TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a2c…64f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT7714.3%11 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+374.6%+$44.86
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.62
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.54
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.73
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.21
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+248.1%+$46.66
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.32
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.17
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+182%+$25.19
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$52.05
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$18.97
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+246.2%+$25.56
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+41.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$12.48
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+203.4%+$26.32
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$8.78
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.94
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.38
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+271.6%+$40.2
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$33.79
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$31.9
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$14.8
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$15.29
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$13.23
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$31.6
Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+53%+$10.5
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.71
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.3
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs INTZ (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-Inbacked INTZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.72
Valorant: PEEK vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-Inbacked PEEK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Valorant: TEC Esports vs World Sports Invictus Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked World Sports Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Dbacked Oasis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: 555 vs Kadiliman Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Cbacked Kadiliman Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$18.05
Valorant: AB3 Esports vs Chivas Esports (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked AB3 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Valorant: 9z Team vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked OXEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Valorant: Team Pulsar vs ROSE (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 1 Relegation Playoffsbacked Team Pulsar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Valorant: RED Canids vs Paysandu E-Sports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group Bbacked Paysandu E-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38.91
Valorant: BOOM Esports vs NAOS Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Abacked NAOS Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Valorant: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 1 Relegation Group Stagebacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Valorant: Aura vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Valorant: Mir Gaming vs Dplus (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked Mir Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.7
All 16 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.24
Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.81
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.86
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$18.24
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$25.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.71
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.76
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.91
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.