Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23414c362686665c0fc96cfc099597d8519802399403825c2f8b68db05e3ab64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,890 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ac…7c14backed No | 45c | 131,324$59,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,708.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 54c | 22,466$12,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,246.09 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 54c | 15,500$8,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,130 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 55c | 14,567$8,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.27 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 55c | 12,001$6,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 10,930$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.69 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8038backed Yes | 47c | 7,412$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 55c | 7,000$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 6,617$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.14 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 6,609$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.68 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 66c | 3,519$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.84 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 43c | 3,323$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.62 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 54c | 2,751$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.83 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 2,527$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.23 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 4c | 1,721$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.09 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,619$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.45 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 78c | 1,616$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.13 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 55c | 1,465$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.18 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 1,255$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.46 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,165$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.64 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 47c | 1,136$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.08 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,002$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 928.37$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.73 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…ef6bbacked Yes | 58c | 862.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 56c | 804.74$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.18 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 55c | 801.32$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.56 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 634$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 16c | 625.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…41b6backed Yes | 47c | 600$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 594$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.03 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 43c | 581.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 55c | 581.82$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes | 55c | 581.82$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 57c | 552$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.52 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 58c | 544.21$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.28 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Yes | 55c | 510.04$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 55c | 446.58$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 54c | 389.64$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.23 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 65c | 345.4$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 54c | 335$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Yes | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 49c | 228.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 225.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 23c | 195$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Yes | 56c | 172$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Yes | 55c | 151$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 56c | 149.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 55c | 136.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 18c | 131.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 55c | 126$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 119.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 55c | 115.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 30c | 102.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Yes | 56c | 96.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed No | 44c | 96.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 55c | 92.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 39c | 80.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed No | 60c | 76.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 51c | 75.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 38c | 75.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Yes | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…d21cbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 52c | 70.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 44c | 69.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 72c | 69.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 65c | 64.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Yes | 55c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 42c | 62.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Yes | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 43c | 58.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Yes | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 54c | 54.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 43c | 53.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes | 34c | 48.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 36c | 48.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 42c | 45.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 79c | 44.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 73c | 43.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 55c | 43.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 29c | 42.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked No | 64c | 37.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.