Mls · resolved market
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b7ea9a670dee22acacc0c800344e4e13ed114ac473de91a0442f1b51febc0fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,100 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ac…7c14backed Yes | 53c | 35,743$18,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,779.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 21,476$9,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,531.87 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 78c | 11,763$9,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,208.57 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 7,530$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.88 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 21c | 6,380$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.19 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 36c | 4,859$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.38 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 4,647$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.02 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 22c | 3,002$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.59 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Yes | 53c | 2,818$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 54c | 2,479$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,146$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.12 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 54c | 1,078$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.88 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 65c | 1,078$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.72 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 52c | 961.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 931.32$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.17 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 858.51$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.07 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 48c | 853.74$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.74 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 23c | 805.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 27c | 768.93$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.9 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 693.13$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.78 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 44c | 682.38$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.28 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 47c | 557.49$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 46c | 554$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes | 42c | 482.64$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 74c | 399.62$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 49c | 385.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.67 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 74c | 338.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 74c | 300.41$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 22c | 299.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.57 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 54c | 292.03$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 71c | 279.72$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.83 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…df79backed Yes | 37c | 270.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 80c | 262.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 53c | 243.35$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.47 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 15c | 235.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 45c | 224.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 21c | 207.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 30c | 203$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 23c | 196.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 182.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 163.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 131$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Yes | 37c | 122.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked No | 79c | 115.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 19c | 106.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 38c | 100.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 44c | 99.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 88.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 47c | 86.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed No | 20c | 77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 75.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 73.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes | 36c | 68.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 45c | 65.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 46c | 64.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 64.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 68c | 60.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 21c | 56.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…bb7bbacked Yes | 77c | 56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 24c | 47.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 26c | 47.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 46c | 44.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 79c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.