TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66e2…41b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+518.8%+$16,771.93
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.85
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60,752.66
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,624.35
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,196.2
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,812.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,968.29
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$605
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,582.99
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$535.13
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24,797Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$18,029.95
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,562.45
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.47
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.5
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.98
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16,292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$14,646.71
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+1,190.3%+$1,190.32
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.26
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$527
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$25.6
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,882Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$13,451.8
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$1,083.74
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.53
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,769.94
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$519.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,908.2
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425.51
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,493.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,995.63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,855Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+271.7%+$5,040.47
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.98
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$860.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,403Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+99%+$2,377.55
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.91
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.3
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$9.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+96.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,549.97
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$1,489.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$321
Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.