NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d07ee5e79fe4bd98461040a46043fa1983008ba478f53d8a33b3e5c8cfa4efa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Nuggets | 49c | 67,157$32,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,250.19 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 60,003$29,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,601.45 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves | 59c | 39,876$23,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,420.61 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 38,822$19,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,799.26 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 48c | 25,373$12,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,198.57 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Nuggets | 49c | 24,896$12,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,697.01 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Timberwolves | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 19,424$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100.48 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves | 51c | 14,335$7,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,283.79 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 13,600$7,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,042.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets | 33c | 10,023$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670.02 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 39c | 9,222$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,654.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 66c | 6,317$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.11 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Timberwolves | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets | 37c | 3,264$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.87 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,918$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.17 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Nuggets | 41c | 2,703$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.73 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,429$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.55 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Nuggets | 44c | 2,371$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.24 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…9309backed Timberwolves | 62c | 2,222$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -66%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,652$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.28 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…7078backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,518$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,401$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.4 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,146$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.64 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,085$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.84 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,063$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.21 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…3d96backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 55c | 808.46$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.29 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Nuggets | 49c | 692.42$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…2ac7backed Timberwolves | 61c | 642.94$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.31 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Timberwolves | 52c | 616.34$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.5 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves | 54c | 578.1$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.31 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Nuggets | 52c | 559.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.12 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 525.14$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.07 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 482.8$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.06 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nuggets | 47c | 470.19$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.74 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Nuggets | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Nuggets | 63c | 389.42$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 316.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Nuggets | 69c | 302.64$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Timberwolves | 32c | 301.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Nuggets | 43c | 285.7$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.18 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…8461backed Timberwolves | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 279.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 270.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 36c | 260.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 57c | 260.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 244.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Nuggets | 49c | 197.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Timberwolves | 54c | 180.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Nuggets | 57c | 170.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Nuggets | 62c | 157.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 49c | 155.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Timberwolves | 62c | 145.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Timberwolves | 75c | 144.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 54c | 133$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Timberwolves | 42c | 128.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Timberwolves | 53c | 128.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nuggets | 33c | 123$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nuggets | 35c | 113$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…7965backed Timberwolves | 22c | 112.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Nuggets | 52c | 110.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 51c | 108.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 101.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -13.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves | 42c | 99.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Nuggets | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nuggets | 33c | 98.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Nuggets | 48c | 95.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nuggets | 61c | 89.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Nuggets | 48c | 88.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Nuggets | 49c | 86.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Nuggets | 43c | 85.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Nuggets | 46c | 85.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nuggets | 34c | 84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Timberwolves | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Timberwolves | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…b64abacked Timberwolves | 61c | 80.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 76.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Nuggets | 54c | 68.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Nuggets | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995b…1bd8backed Nuggets | 44c | 65.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Nuggets | 68c | 65.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Nuggets | 49c | 64.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…41b6backed Nuggets | 73c | 64.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Nuggets | 50c | 59.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Timberwolves | 49c | 59.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 45c | 57.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Nuggets | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…df66backed Nuggets | 72c | 54.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 52.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.