TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,292 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes57c2,024$1,153 inWon+$871.121,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No42c1,715$717 inLost-$716.8779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No43c999.99$435 inLost-$43590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes60c571.35$342 inWon+$228.9465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Yes59c390.1$231 inWon+$159.194953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed No41c370.76$153 inLost-$153.311070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+71.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed No40c331.01$132 inLost-$132.42025%5 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked No39c253.72$99 inLost-$98.953148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes61c236.26$144 inWon+$92.149545.3%43 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes58c204.18$118 inWon+$85.7692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Yes56c123.24$69 inWon+$54.1139864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes59c117.4$69 inWon+$48.131,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed No44c100$44 inLost-$445147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No44c75$33 inLost-$3336749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Yes58c70.15$41 inWon+$29.4646255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Yes60c68.53$41 inWon+$27.4615650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No42c65.39$28 inLost-$27.5129449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed No40c44.95$18 inLost-$17.9840546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes59c35.96$21 inWon+$14.7438751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfad7…ae7ebacked Yes58c33.61$19 inWon+$14.122857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Yes64c30.51$20 inWon+$10.946547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes59c28.48$17 inWon+$11.6837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Yes59c19.56$12 inWon+$8.0214054.3%76 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.