NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cdf2ebb93d9e175da0138a0b7d1e868201738f9afb7a18e08e0452dc76fb5eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $482,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3625…1187backed Under | 49c | 99,702$48,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,241.41 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 50c | 58,567$29,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,482.39 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 57c | 56,471$31,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,916.86 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 43c | 42,911$18,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,638.41 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 37,728$19,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,296 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 29,135$14,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,425.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 57c | 16,992$9,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,744.15 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 50c | 13,580$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 11,441$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.28 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…32b6backed Under | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 57c | 8,589$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.15 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 57c | 8,557$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.78 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 7,033$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.06 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 6,813$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 5,485$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.87 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 5,302$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 5,089$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.29 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 4,945$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.19 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…ff17backed Over | 56c | 4,612$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 7c | 4,524$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.48 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 50c | 4,268$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 50c | 4,194$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.06 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 3,568$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.63 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 57c | 3,557$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.25 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 48c | 3,180$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.06 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Under | 50c | 2,663$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.9 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 48c | 2,515$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.94 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Under | 52c | 2,506$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.55 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb240…df51backed Over | 53c | 2,505$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.53 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 49c | 2,473$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.11 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 54c | 2,453$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.51 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 55c | 2,238$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.85 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 54c | 2,195$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.97 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 50c | 2,109$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.28 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 45c | 2,057$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.83 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…b6e8backed Under | 46c | 2,041$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 50c | 2,037$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.5 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 49c | 1,931$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.15 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…5350backed Over | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 1,804$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 1,607$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.28 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 50c | 1,601$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.32 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 48c | 1,589$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…48babacked Under | 58c | 1,583$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,368$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 1,246$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…746bbacked Under | 52c | 1,182$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 63c | 1,165$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…3c26backed Over | 55c | 1,138$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Under | 44c | 1,094$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.17 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 51c | 1,040$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 1,021$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 43c | 988.77$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.52 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Over | 55c | 960.03$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.02 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Under | 40c | 948.61$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.17 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 57c | 946.36$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.42 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 938.45$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…ee85backed Over | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 51c | 898.25$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.37 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Under | 43c | 897.37$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 45c | 888.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.92 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 57c | 843.4$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.57 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 58c | 798.33$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.01 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 46c | 762$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.48 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 54c | 729.3$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.82 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 57c | 699.95$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.97 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 43c | 691.61$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.22 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 57c | 681.38$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.71 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…16c3backed Over | 55c | 650.05$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…2ac7backed Over | 70c | 636.59$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.24 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 42c | 636.28$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.04 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 47c | 619.65$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.41 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Over | 55c | 610.21$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.61 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.13 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…49a0backed Under | 49c | 565.58$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…60f8backed Over | 54c | 546.09$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 544.49$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.23 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…85e5backed Under | 62c | 533.38$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Over | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Over | 57c | 487.1$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 74c | 479.4$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Over | 58c | 453.79$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Under | 22c | 452.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.16 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 43c | 446.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.77 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 444.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.46 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 45c | 395.36$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.03 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 389.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.34 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.