NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c985f4bfdeb6fb6293612a5b481ba16ae1fabd41ee2d9874330845c7397dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $538,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $624,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 49c | 44,672$21,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,941.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nuggets | 48c | 39,731$19,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,547.34 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves | 47c | 37,810$17,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,770.68 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 31,918$15,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,001.34 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 53c | 29,971$15,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,086.53 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Nuggets | 54c | 26,029$14,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,975.36 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Nuggets | 53c | 22,736$12,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,686.13 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 46c | 21,693$9,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,978.72 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 20,600$10,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,681.95 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Timberwolves | 47c | 20,164$9,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,477 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 53c | 17,850$9,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,389.64 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 50c | 16,221$8,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,152.58 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 14,694$7,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,135.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 52c | 12,221$6,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,322.68 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 11,402$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700.9 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Nuggets | 53c | 11,293$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.59 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 10,625$5,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,787.45 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 9,168$4,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.92 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,240$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.81 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 7,774$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.97 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,076$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.77 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 50c | 7,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.99 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 6,584$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.75 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 41c | 6,410$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.91 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…7be3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 6,180$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 48c | 6,113$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.44 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,360$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.07 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…4088backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,150$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 5,027$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.21 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,993$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.47 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,127$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 4,117$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.12 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 4,080$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.97 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…8facbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,610$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…25b8backed Timberwolves | 56c | 3,373$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,338$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.93 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 46c | 3,327$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.42 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 46c | 3,318$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…bf20backed Timberwolves | 54c | 3,245$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…5b61backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,186$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,122$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.73 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,715$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.8 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,529$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.93 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,344$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.69 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,307$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,282$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,250$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.49 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,216$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.44 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,172$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.31 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,064$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.68 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,941$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.79 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,873$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.55 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,819$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.38 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,801$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.91 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,718$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,649$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.5 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,533$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.49 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,487$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.31 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,474$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.86 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,466$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.38 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…70a7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,409$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,382$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,376$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.22 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,253$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.84 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,230$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.27 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,207$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.07 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,177$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.48 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.04 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.07 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,080$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.75 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,044$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.22 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.05 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.66 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Nuggets | 44c | 994.78$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.59 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Nuggets | 50c | 985.98$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.34 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 54c | 982.39$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.9 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Nuggets | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nuggets | 50c | 965.89$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.82 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Nuggets | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Nuggets | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Nuggets | 53c | 876.45$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.93 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5b…a4d9backed Nuggets | 54c | 875.03$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.52 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Timberwolves | 49c | 827.54$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.49 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed Timberwolves | 48c | 808.97$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Nuggets | 54c | 777.92$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.84 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 776.25$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.73 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Timberwolves | 22c | 692.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Timberwolves | 51c | 673.54$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.51 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…b5d2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 649.39$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…dfc5backed Nuggets | 54c | 630.26$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.