NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22138ac97cfb6f04b3a7560225684d6f821e5e470b876de18b7d3d23f7cf7736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Timberwolves, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,549,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,556,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,549,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,898 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3625…1187backed Nuggets | 73c | 677,500$494,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,079.93 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Timberwolves | 26c | 241,919$63,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,653.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Nuggets | 73c | 167,246$122,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,156.42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets | 75c | 155,232$117,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,146.44 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 147,741$27,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,361.51 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Timberwolves | 27c | 130,000$35,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,100 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves | 27c | 100,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 28c | 98,824$27,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,670.73 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 34c | 91,549$31,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,434.26 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Timberwolves | 28c | 75,284$20,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,733.49 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 70,717$12,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,561.26 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 59,498$12,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,650.26 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 58,490$15,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,792.31 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Timberwolves | 28c | 55,047$15,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,413.13 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 30c | 53,707$16,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,085.97 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 52,957$14,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,536.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Nuggets | 73c | 49,190$35,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,281.3 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Timberwolves | 7c | 47,210$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Timberwolves | 30c | 47,110$14,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,321.88 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 32c | 44,538$14,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,060.1 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 27c | 43,790$11,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,823.25 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves | 28c | 40,189$11,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,058.54 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 40,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves | 30c | 39,525$11,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,805.75 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 73c | 39,352$28,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,625.04 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 23c | 36,763$8,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,521.4 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 36,646$10,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,260.92 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Nuggets | 72c | 31,937$22,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,942.26 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Nuggets | 70c | 30,687$21,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,106.18 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 7c | 30,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 69c | 30,000$20,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,299.99 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Nuggets | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.98 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves | 32c | 29,731$9,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600.72 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c57…9a36backed Timberwolves | 26c | 29,303$7,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,618.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets | 70c | 28,973$20,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,691.98 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed Timberwolves | 27c | 28,788$7,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,772.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed Timberwolves | 42c | 26,836$11,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,189.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Timberwolves | 27c | 25,440$6,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,868.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Timberwolves | 31c | 24,410$7,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,483.62 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Timberwolves | 1c | 24,198$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.71 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Nuggets | 69c | 23,399$16,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,151.59 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 26c | 22,581$5,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.88 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Timberwolves | 47c | 22,527$10,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,587.71 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Timberwolves | 27c | 22,400$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,047.98 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 21,649$6,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,515.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Nuggets | 80c | 21,143$16,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.97 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 20,476$5,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,733.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Nuggets | 69c | 19,952$13,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,236.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Nuggets | 71c | 19,779$14,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,736.92 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Nuggets | 73c | 19,676$14,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.52 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Timberwolves | 12c | 17,841$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.05 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Nuggets | 68c | 17,414$11,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,486.27 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Timberwolves | 28c | 16,199$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.74 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Nuggets | 55c | 15,958$8,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,201.69 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…3b9dbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 15,850$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Nuggets | 68c | 14,994$10,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.58 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 27c | 14,905$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.39 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 14,807$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.87 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 14,374$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.52 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Timberwolves | 27c | 14,222$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.72 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 7c | 14,047$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.31 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Nuggets | 72c | 13,983$10,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.77 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 28c | 13,500$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Nuggets | 58c | 13,064$7,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,424.27 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Timberwolves | 28c | 12,500$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.99 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 29c | 12,081$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 12,077$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.03 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 12,000$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Nuggets | 69c | 11,266$7,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.49 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed Timberwolves | 27c | 10,931$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…18a6backed Timberwolves | 27c | 10,600$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 10,469$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.58 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Timberwolves | 28c | 10,251$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.39 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Nuggets | 67c | 10,241$6,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.5 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Nuggets | 72c | 10,003$7,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Timberwolves | 29c | 10,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Timberwolves | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Timberwolves | 30c | 10,000$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.88 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…b8ffbacked Nuggets | 73c | 9,325$6,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 68c | 9,032$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.54 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…1d68backed Timberwolves | 42c | 8,931$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Timberwolves | 4c | 8,822$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.64 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Nuggets | 57c | 8,672$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.51 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Nuggets | 73c | 8,634$6,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.24 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves | 28c | 8,611$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.14 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…b44cbacked Timberwolves | 11c | 8,605$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Timberwolves | 7c | 8,518$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.35 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Timberwolves | 27c | 8,280$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.59 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Timberwolves | 18c | 8,070$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.9 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc6…1d96backed Timberwolves | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Nuggets | 68c | 8,000$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…7078backed Timberwolves | 28c | 7,949$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…199fbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 7,600$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Nuggets | 65c | 7,557$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.45 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Nuggets | 65c | 7,498$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.89 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…abf0backed Nuggets | 72c | 7,400$5,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…5ac5backed Nuggets | 72c | 7,200$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +62%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802a…8901backed Nuggets | 71c | 7,158$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5710…8028backed Timberwolves | 28c | 7,038$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.