TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a5c…0fc2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.03
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.84
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.46
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$148.32
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$636
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$559.41
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$381.51
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$587
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.88
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$129.72
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$139.85
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$750.19
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.18
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$67.42
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$60.46
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$160.64
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$57.84
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.