Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947bca5b697fbe77f7aa39038987a97efad98549454b2d8559c03181dd6746fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,004,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,121,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,004,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 694 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 45c | 271,669$120,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,930.17 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed Yes | 55c | 232,455$127,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,604.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 38c | 136,717$52,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,343.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Yes | 55c | 52,217$28,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,497.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 56c | 34,094$19,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,001.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Yes | 55c | 28,727$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,927.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked No | 46c | 24,454$11,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,248.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yes | 56c | 23,495$13,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,337.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Yes | 55c | 22,699$12,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,214.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes | 56c | 16,202$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,202.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 22c | 14,509$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.5 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 56c | 14,404$8,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,337.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 44c | 13,306$5,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,854.58 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 44c | 11,491$5,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,056.04 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 55c | 10,909$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 4c | 10,892$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.19 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…d370backed No | 45c | 10,889$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 44c | 10,752$4,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 43c | 10,521$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 78c | 10,433$8,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.59 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 9,829$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.6 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 6c | 9,346$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.13 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 44c | 9,049$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 59cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 7,690$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.6 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 3c | 7,661$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 5c | 7,490$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked No | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…fadebacked Yes | 56c | 6,349$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 57c | 6,136$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…c119backed Yes | 56c | 5,297$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…63b4backed No | 45c | 5,267$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.93 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…1f71backed No | 45c | 4,822$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…74f3backed No | 45c | 4,821$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 55c | 4,633$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…4488backed Yes | 56c | 4,602$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…c0d3backed No | 45c | 4,393$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed No | 11c | 4,261$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 4c | 3,874$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 46c | 3,868$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.28 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…b778backed No | 3c | 3,692$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 55c | 3,604$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…a674backed Yes | 56c | 3,539$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 56c | 3,455$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked No | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 80c | 3,093$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f5…8d50backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 55c | 2,869$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.93 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked No | 44c | 2,830$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,804$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.6 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 56c | 2,345$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 44c | 1,941$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.19 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Yes | 55c | 1,876$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…1351backed No | 45c | 1,760$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…8882backed Yes | 55c | 1,760$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 60c | 1,670$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes | 52c | 1,637$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 54c | 1,574$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.91 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 1,537$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.24 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 45c | 1,449$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…74c0backed Yes | 77c | 1,429$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 44c | 1,394$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.85 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed No | 44c | 1,388$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 55c | 1,367$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.13 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 46c | 1,362$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.56 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 44c | 1,359$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.18 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 1,333$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.15 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 44c | 1,279$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 1,275$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 54c | 1,271$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.13 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Yes | 56c | 1,225$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Yes | 57c | 1,213$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 56c | 1,182$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1143…b69fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,166$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…a0fdbacked No | 4c | 1,163$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 12c | 1,130$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.87 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 45c | 1,124$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 45c | 1,106$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.7 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 54c | 1,100$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed No | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…d1fbbacked Yes | 56c | 1,095$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.