TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a67…d370

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardibacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,393.93
Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+159.5%+$3,125.56
Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Cina (+1.5)backed Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$7,331.47
Wuxi: Maximus Jones vs Akira Santillanbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,979.2
Set 1 Winner: Jones vs Santillanbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,440.16
Set 1 Winner: Walton vs McCabebacked McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,866.5
Ayeni vs. Kwon: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42%+$492.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$7,522.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,646Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+183.4%+$4,852.04
Set 1 Winner: Guerrieri vs Tsengbacked Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$94.48
Santos: Miguel Tobon vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,921.71
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,353.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martina Trevisan vs Talia Gibsonbacked Martina Trevisan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,602.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,813.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Jennifer Ruggeri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+243.1%+$8,100.08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,869.8
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,860
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorcabacked Lucia Cortez Llorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,840
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,430
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Noemi Basiletti vs Daria Snigurbacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$488.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguetbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,389Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$5,964.31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,234
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,940Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$2,901.97
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+268.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$3,279.31
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,234
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$686
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,892.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.