TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes40c22,262$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a67…d370backed No60c8,179$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c6,387$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.955,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes30c4,431$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.121811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-63.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No75c4,313$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.9430847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c4,014$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.168,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c3,350$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.871,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c1,974$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.942,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes20c1,765$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.23315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No60c1,347$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.621,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c1,270$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.411,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c1,267$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.923,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6925…d76dbacked Yes1c1,050$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1170%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No61c1,038$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.021,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…ab1bbacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No60c997.49$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.181,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes41c811.41$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.6242250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24624053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No60c583.32$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c549.04$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.621,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes10c492.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474617.4%8 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes10c460.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0711717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16419559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No60c350.01$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14010467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12328851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No60c299.98$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7178756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes18c270$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485026%13 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No59c240$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No60c237.04$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.241,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No72c223.66$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8218358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No59c196$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3622457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes38c176.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.962,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No61c168.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.350746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes39c168.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.875345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6731745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes40c165$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6617251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b17…b58dbacked Yes39c151.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec7…4f0ebacked Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes35c128.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8733745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No59c123.47$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6213828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4517255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506346%29 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c114.78$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9919952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c101.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.542,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.258153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No60c98.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7716347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No59c97.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1524956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes41c97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7710146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3815…6ce2backed Yes40c92.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6861…b317backed Yes41c80.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d5e…de1dbacked Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+65.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No65c73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5529653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes23c64.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.924645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes35c63.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2723542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yes40c62.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1614535.9%52 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No76c62.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9442946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No65c61.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4920138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aba…debfbacked Yes39c61.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.081553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No61c61.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8445253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6134…98b0backed Yes40c53.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.461346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58668.6%59 W · 27 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x575d…a11abacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes42c49.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No62c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2410564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1818557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes40c43.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4870055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No78c43.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed No65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411747.9%56 W · 61 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.413465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Yes40c39.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3924…ee05backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155056%28 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes28c35.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed No62c34.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.172462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89db…d0efbacked No61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked Yes40c32.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc86b…1d8ebacked No69c30.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked No65c30.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.482254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.230841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes40c29.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.712754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes40c26.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74339.5%17 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b03…13eebacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3373…ccdabacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.