South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb90ef33802d81fe76d7bc70ce20e08a3db8b9836281548323ec9ffc8421c89c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.71 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,405$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 33c | 957.68$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.65 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 883.49$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.27 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 66c | 654$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.64 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 24c | 646.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.66 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 24c | 623.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.97 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 623.16$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.98 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 550.29$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 31c | 348.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.39 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 74c | 328.32$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 72c | 270$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 49c | 199.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Yes | 34c | 172.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 160.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 160.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 63c | 158.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 149.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 25c | 130.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 58c | 118$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 113$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 111$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 96.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked No | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 84.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 70c | 64.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 67c | 61.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Yes | 31c | 60.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed No | 70c | 60.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 50.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 47.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 64c | 42.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 55c | 39.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 35.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 36c | 35.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 34.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…d0f0backed No | 76c | 29.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 24.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 22.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Yes | 65c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…1297backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.