TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf87b…5294

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3271.9%23 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
O'Higgins FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CSyD Macará vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.27
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.13
Will SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.41
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$421.31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$229.44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$75.38
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Spread: England (-3.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$133.79
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$91.59
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$80.42
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$59.17
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$19.79
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$17.32
Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.8
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$25.3
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.37
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.43
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$60.1
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.61
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid+25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$277.03
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$182.8
Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Francavilla: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Francavilla: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Clement Chidekhbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.07
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$54.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$113.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $136 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Karlsruher SC vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$21.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Jade Lions vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.