Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f1918b7e44022505592d3732b0229a949e40fd941cc12611fbbc5dda397772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,693$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.67 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…b2f3backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 30c | 775.38$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.61 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 722.8$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.64 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over | 27c | 678.82$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 60c | 534.03$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.74 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 33c | 321.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 54c | 267.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…e153backed Under | 56c | 131.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 131.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 127.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 50c | 123.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed Over | 59c | 114.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 68c | 99.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 37c | 79.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Under | 40c | 75.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 70c | 67.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 31c | 64.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 70c | 63.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Over | 70c | 59.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 36c | 45.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 70c | 35.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 30c | 34.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 69c | 30.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 70c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 56c | 28.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…c673backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked Under | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Over | 70c | 19.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Under | 61c | 17.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Under | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.