Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34dea0c254706b6fd913c43aba8ca3870604d03bfc3204ecc5448139d08c204d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 6,623$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.8 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,656$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 43c | 3,505$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.87 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 28c | 3,206$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.87 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.99 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 41c | 1,316$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 58c | 855.45$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.68 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 839.89$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.87 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 61c | 819.75$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Under | 58c | 771.33$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 38c | 679.65$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 53c | 679$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.13 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 643.18$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…62ddbacked Over | 32c | 618$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 39c | 599.32$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 361.35$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 60c | 320$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 316.7$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 44c | 312.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 60c | 199.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 58c | 172.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 61c | 117.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 46c | 106.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 41c | 104.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 48c | 104.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 42c | 102.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 59c | 101.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 101.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 94.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 22c | 79.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 67.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Under | 46c | 65.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 58c | 62.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 64c | 61.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 52c | 60.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 59.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 51c | 56.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 62c | 56.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 71c | 53.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 29c | 52.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…338fbacked Over | 41c | 51.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 53c | 51.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 56c | 50.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 62c | 49.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…b2f3backed Over | 43c | 45.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 57c | 43.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 41.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 64c | 41.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 37.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 62c | 34.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1813backed Under | 55c | 33.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 33c | 30.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 61c | 21.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.