TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$428,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$448,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c62,660$11,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,160.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over0c21,333$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under70c15,724$10,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.1814232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over16c14,734$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.281,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over13c12,282$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.994264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over5c11,237$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.7934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over19c10,081$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.448723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over7c9,722$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.81,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under67c7,300$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.374472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over12c6,359$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.771,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c5,778$4,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.92,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under80c5,239$4,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.8164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over15c3,906$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over11c3,422$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…07b4backed Under78c3,000$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.931668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under70c2,837$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.1123353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Over20c2,800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over20c2,625$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Over21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over3c2,301$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7258926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Over20c2,250$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Over29c2,094$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under79c2,062$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.712,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Under70c2,006$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.244774.5%35 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Under80c1,943$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.685658.9%33 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over19c1,912$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.5195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over12c1,800$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9815920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over15c1,648$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.414,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over11c1,626$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.73,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under78c1,615$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.0615040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6c…425cbacked Under70c1,431$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.624459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over23c1,427$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.1243139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over23c1,403$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over12c1,241$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.382,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over19c1,168$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9914612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Over15c1,118$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0914946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over25c1,040$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26023747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over17c1,027$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.932,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d8…cf41backed Over25c1,003$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.881050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18037237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over10c999.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over5c999.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9541331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Under80c978.93$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7915456.5%87 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under69c919.13$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.885137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Under79c834.57$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7610355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0850…cb8cbacked Under70c824.87$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.877439.2%29 W · 45 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under68c800$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2911247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over30c799.33$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9223857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under70c797.76$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1910055%55 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over22c779.98$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over8c774.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over14c755.54$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.181,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under73c730.22$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.071,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over12c694.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7431232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…a3f4backed Over15c686.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over13c685.82$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9233544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over3c669$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9534845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over19c662.91$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.833,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Under74c618.25$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.884663%29 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under78c600.04$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.017550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under70c600$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18311156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under73c505$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3518929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over18c503$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5443230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009145.1%41 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Under68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16011560%69 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under69c482.61$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.617558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over19c475.9$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.964,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under75c465.48$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3716641%68 W · 98 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under80c464.1$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over12c462.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5450146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d8d…856cbacked Under69c427.56$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Over14c418.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2428042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over34c412.38$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14130220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Over19c406.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1710041%41 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over22c393.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.932,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…ebe7backed Under68c390.59$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.074860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Under68c385.87$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4912241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over21c384.63$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.527032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Over19c381.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5119031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked Over23c376.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.574337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87b…5294backed Under80c373.5$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.381464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over20c367.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7525737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under77c362.22$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9532444.1%143 W · 181 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Under70c358.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1818043.9%79 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over28c352.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Under76c351.91$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.848143.2%35 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Under68c348.82$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5612052.5%63 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Under75c323.38$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6634540.3%139 W · 206 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over23c320.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over11c313.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.622,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over17c305.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2525741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.