TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,045 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c2,317$366 inLost-$366.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes15c1,838$280 inLost-$280.152,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Yes8c1,028$83 inLost-$82.713735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes15c1,027$154 inLost-$1546031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost-$15031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes3c932.44$28 inLost-$28.332,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes11c654.55$72 inLost-$7212223%28 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes16c625$100 inLost-$10019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x323b…df9abacked Yes16c304.69$49 inLost-$48.757919%15 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda7…4fa2backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost-$302544%11 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes7c200$14 inLost-$1423820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Yes15c197.47$30 inLost-$29.6222135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$2022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee81…df6abacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$205736.8%21 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…8dc6backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$207332.9%24 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes16c125$20 inLost-$2052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5090…9e15backed Yes15c100$15 inLost-$156918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost-$1523729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes16c87.06$14 inLost-$13.936127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes18c83.95$15 inLost-$1534526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes16c69.75$11 inLost-$11.166618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost-$1010737.4%40 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.