TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,024 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over51c65,551$33,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,273.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under66c46,775$30,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,684.1364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c28,129$14,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,361.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c13,945$5,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,316.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under2c4,389$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.771,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under48c4,050$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.932,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa451…449ebacked Over62c3,979$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.183638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under1c3,300$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4426647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under38c3,071$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.9870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over36c3,059$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.422,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over61c2,868$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.521,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under12c2,440$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.615726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under39c2,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.999266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Over36c1,571$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.4416755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under38c1,303$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49520053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c1,262$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.243,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Over41c1,250$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7356238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under6c1,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under38c1,050$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9925857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over51c1,012$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.172,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Under64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6409662.5%60 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under64c937.5$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under15c900$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c831.54$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.164,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over62c825.88$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.862,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4537223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under38c773.68$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2945137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over53c764.15$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1532739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Over31c700$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4834254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under47c692.01$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.0544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over62c690.64$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.441,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c616.95$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.913,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under14c600$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.665036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under59c535.79$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9729740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Under39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Under38c499.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Over56c488.71$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under42c476.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over60c470.45$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1861752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over58c454.24$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.414,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under39c440.56$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.822,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under47c409.74$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1948336.1%30 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over62c365.81$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.015621.4%12 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under27c365$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.151,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under13c325.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3213813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over46c305$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.966861.8%42 W · 26 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over61c305$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.646765.7%44 W · 23 L+12.4wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked Under21c291.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7712029.2%35 W · 85 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under54c285.55$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1433438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x975e…f875backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010549.5%52 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc711…b2febacked Over62c223.82$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.053855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under23c215.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over61c204$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.562,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10613155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over67c197.39$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.141,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over63c178.94$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6227227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under21c143$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.252,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over38c140$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.827637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under47c133.28$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.132,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over48c126.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.117356.6%98 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c122.35$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under18c117.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.019221.7%20 W · 72 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over61c104.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over62c104.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8427742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4624837.1%92 W · 156 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4827…080dbacked Under64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Under39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over62c99.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9848147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff9…ec5dbacked Over62c95.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.162060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under40c92.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8315149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.722,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6515344.4%68 W · 85 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6510451.9%54 W · 50 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over61c68.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.853,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under51c66.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.822058.2%128 W · 92 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6313736.5%50 W · 87 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Under39c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.287944.3%35 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over35c51.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8748328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x751f…4a2cbacked Under39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019144.5%85 W · 106 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d5…87f4backed Under39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015138.4%58 W · 93 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over61c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.893,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over62c50.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.451,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2430836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over62c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under38c49.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9918118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x843e…b3dabacked Over62c47.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.942035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under53c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2055…2a7abacked Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208850%44 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe689…0418backed Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94b7…768cbacked Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.45457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed Under39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.