TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c19,744$10,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,563.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf692…37a7backed Over56c15,630$8,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,925.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under45c14,000$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,249.994431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under44c10,100$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,443.9824058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under59c9,721$5,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,708.722,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under21c5,832$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.7524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under64c4,596$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.5375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over35c3,066$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9972,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6787…6044backed Under54c2,856$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.932556%14 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under45c2,530$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.742,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Over9c2,377$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.265726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c2,300$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.963,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over38c2,214$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.033,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under32c2,109$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.9741331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30041968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c1,867$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.122,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under44c1,840$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.646546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under44c1,840$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ca…1cefbacked Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.712642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf926…3fc0backed Under9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under61c1,419$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.324,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under29c1,348$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.521,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under25c1,333$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3314856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under15c1,333$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.692,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c1,110$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.84,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c1,101$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.853,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under46c1,036$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.5510359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under45c1,022$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.7767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.1511545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under44c999.97$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under6c999.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1513813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over36c972.75$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.2282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Over9c900$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.5811216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under21c899.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1210940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c848.03$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c800.11$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.452,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked Over55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3605558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under19c773.43$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.472,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b98…e230backed Under45c748.36$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.762454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over56c642.86$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8612556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf622…b1f0backed Under9c637.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.42911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over34c617.65$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6518742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under9c605.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.516910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Over33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40214839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x530f…424ebacked Under45c582.71$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.227750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under67c550.56$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.881,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under13c520.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.389221.7%20 W · 72 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c512.72$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.621,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over66c506.76$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9622560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over55c505.55$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.712,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21513061.5%80 W · 50 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+100.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under45c499.91$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.961,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Over34c469.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.647230.6%22 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over49c450$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.519750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over52c437.08$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7310844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over33c404.08$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7310562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Over39c394.62$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8212529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under45c378.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.733,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over55c363$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3537237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.145066%33 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8830032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c345.01$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under45c333.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507548%36 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under70c333$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.17558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over55c317.92$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0612435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over55c313.22$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.061,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over70c308.69$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Under46c304.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked Under66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010549.5%52 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Over37c300$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.564850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over55c288.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.011,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Over55c271.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.17843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c269.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.865356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under61c221.11$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8414231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over16c211.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.932,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under9c208$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.722020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8328326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under18c199$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.661,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8212828.9%37 W · 91 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8215040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over55c181.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1842853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5716160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a6…dff7backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.579136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under14c161.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Under66c160$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.626344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…42f2backed Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.068840.9%36 W · 52 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…3b32backed Over56c140.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.426147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under54c133.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.422,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1853…6c81backed Over56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9310553.3%56 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd87…0ed7backed Under25c133.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over75c125$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe300…8a97backed Under45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.