TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Croatia (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ghanaof Croatia, Ghana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$311,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$408,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,593 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Croatia10c35,304$3,390 inLost-$3,389.552,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Croatia11c23,129$2,500 inLost-$2,50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Croatia10c7,174$717 inLost-$717.3774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Croatia1c4,870$31 inLost-$31.2165737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Croatia10c2,666$262 inLost-$262.1651315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Croatia13c2,452$330 inLost-$330.243139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Croatia4c1,256$45 inLost-$44.912,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Croatia13c1,247$162 inLost-$162.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Croatia11c1,182$130 inLost-$130.0238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Croatia9c1,163$105 inLost-$104.631,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Croatia10c1,156$111 inLost-$110.942,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Croatia9c1,075$97 inLost-$96.731,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Croatia11c1,031$118 inLost-$11860821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382c…a0d7backed Croatia10c1,000$100 inLost-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Croatia10c771.13$81 inLost-$80.572,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Croatia3c700$21 inLost-$212,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Croatia9c588.09$55 inLost-$54.81,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Croatia11c581.78$65 inLost-$65.191,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14c…f8afbacked Croatia11c454.55$50 inLost-$504623.9%11 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Croatia4c450$20 inLost-$19.827034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Croatia5c411.47$22 inLost-$22.2738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked Croatia11c272.73$30 inLost-$306918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Croatia10c246.75$25 inLost-$24.6848937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Croatia8c226.97$18 inLost-$18.3971939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Croatia10c200$20 inLost-$2097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Croatia8c195.21$15 inLost-$14.921,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Croatia11c164.95$18 inLost-$18.1473234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked Croatia15c133.33$20 inLost-$2021128%59 W · 152 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Croatia15c119.8$18 inLost-$17.9711745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Croatia14c82.96$12 inLost-$11.619450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Ghana76c25$19 inWon+$6.137950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.