TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,738 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under63c2,480$1,562 inLost-$1,561.912,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Over37c2,358$872 inWon+$1,485.367331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Under62c1,423$882 inLost-$882.092147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over38c691.57$263 inWon+$428.783,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over38c657.44$250 inWon+$407.613,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under9c400.69$36 inLost-$36.0513813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under41c167.69$69 inLost-$69.074,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over37c137.76$51 inWon+$86.791,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6d75backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon+$48.043627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…8e96backed Under73c68.49$50 inLost-$504250%21 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over34c64.38$22 inWon+$42.4923729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under73c60.68$44 inLost-$4436350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under64c42.19$27 inLost-$2753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Under63c40$25 inLost-$25.213151.1%67 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over37c40$15 inWon+$25.23,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over36c38$14 inWon+$24.321,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Over36c32.52$12 inWon+$20.8115550.3%78 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6515…c867backed Under63c29.99$19 inLost-$18.891181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.