Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb649843b51fda336ea99acc208acace91770af0dce9c7100488f33ff4232cce5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Under | 12c | 50,009$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 25c | 49,677$12,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,468.63 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 11c | 15,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 12c | 12,347$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.26 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 11,960$9,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 12c | 9,567$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.38 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 12c | 9,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Under | 11c | 7,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 12c | 6,180$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.56 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 12c | 3,987$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.44 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 23c | 3,902$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.71 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 12c | 3,382$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 12c | 2,400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 12c | 2,304$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.84 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Under | 12c | 2,150$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 11c | 1,995$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Under | 12c | 1,225$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 142 | 31.7%45 W · 97 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x705e…22fdbacked Under | 12c | 1,017$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Over | 77c | 966.57$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 11c | 942.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…78cfbacked Under | 12c | 925$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 80c | 900.09$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c95backed Under | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Under | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Under | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…3363backed Under | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 13c | 525.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Under | 11c | 509.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…2030backed Under | 12c | 501.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Under | 13c | 430$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 17c | 397.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…0e18backed Under | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Under | 12c | 368.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Under | 11c | 303$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 13c | 246.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…44bfbacked Under | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Under | 11c | 169.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 75c | 152.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 11c | 151.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Under | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 11c | 136.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…b7ddbacked Under | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4b75backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…141ebacked Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 12c | 98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 11c | 94.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Under | 13c | 83.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 74c | 79.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed Under | 24c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…99a6backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…21a6backed Over | 80c | 40.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5this page
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Croatia (-4.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.