TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c20,645$11,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,852.424,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over37c7,711$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.932,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c5,758$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80014351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over36c4,750$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.654,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over41c4,441$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.872,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over45c2,613$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.3316953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Under66c2,472$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.746737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over36c2,288$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.046842.6%29 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under55c2,168$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.321,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over37c2,024$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.32,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36065737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over30c1,857$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.92,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Under55c1,808$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over28c1,602$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.271,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over37c1,507$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.0121641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under13c1,500$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1895726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Over45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.334351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c1,199$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.521,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under46c1,090$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.569752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Over47c1,066$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.4916739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c1,001$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.473,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over44c999.97$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under11c899.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Under58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c753.87$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.82,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over43c696.28$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.352,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under55c690.3$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c624.35$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.512,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over36c612$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.6882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c555.06$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.413,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c479.91$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under59c438.69$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.62,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Under46c434.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7816943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6838…6911backed Over44c429.55$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.558028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over42c424.5$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2447748.1%37 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b19…727ebacked Under57c385.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over44c378.1$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.52,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under71c333$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.437558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under59c332.03$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.910948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over43c265.18$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.831,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c262.71$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.572,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c240.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5959752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over32c225.78$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0973536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e9…c135backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3913752.6%72 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under73c216.6$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1216753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under56c202.81$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5748937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under56c190$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.410153.5%54 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c183.76$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Over55c177$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6523227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over33c168.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.551,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a2…42f2backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.868840.9%36 W · 52 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Under46c136$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5610335.9%37 W · 66 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Over46c128.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.051723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under56c124.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.433,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6417436.2%63 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over45c111.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2315947.2%75 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718f…1dc3backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1116342.3%69 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…a388backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.75554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under57c105.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9942853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over33c99.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.348328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under66c95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.942554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under56c89.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.031,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over46c79.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1973234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.836540%26 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under56c60.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.342,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under55c56.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.561,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4b…1141backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.65541.8%23 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under55c54.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.261,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Under55c54.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012860.2%77 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Over32c54.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8714335.7%51 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under56c47.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.851,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Under55c47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8530344.2%134 W · 169 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f1…1744backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0093…2ffbbacked Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under64c44.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.651,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over39c44.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over40c43.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.331,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a99…d92ebacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over44c42.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4432837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under57c41.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c40.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6531149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3162…087bbacked Under67c40.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.722733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Under56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.425655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over35c39.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.251,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over29c37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2732433.6%109 W · 215 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under66c37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9666…2830backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df2…68e7backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbed…0ff6backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d40…3b32backed Under56c35.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.746147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f05…23ffbacked Over44c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.66141%25 W · 36 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.