Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x296098a2faeaecd0392ef1d489fc7cacc83d167fe993308c789da7a47b115c0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Under | 19c | 24,011$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,562.2 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 78c | 2,407$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.21 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 22c | 1,853$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.53 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 1,849$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 73c | 1,583$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.24 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 76c | 1,363$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.34 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 23c | 1,250$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.16 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 1,250$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Under | 24c | 1,083$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked Over | 77c | 903.13$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 788.89$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 12c | 732.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…86b1backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…326abacked Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 22c | 499.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 77c | 405$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Under | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 22c | 232.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 78c | 215.2$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 79c | 197.7$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 18c | 197$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 78c | 167.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Under | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 79c | 129.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…fab1backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…e170backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…6e26backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 150 | 40.7%61 W · 89 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Under | 21c | 124$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 303 | 44.2%134 W · 169 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed Over | 72c | 105.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 21c | 104.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 78c | 95.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 156 | 67.9%106 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 32c | 95.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Over | 76c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…be14backed Over | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 238 | 63.4%151 W · 87 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…0210backed Over | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…e427backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 78c | 56.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 80c | 54.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…ecffbacked Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 85 | 67.1%57 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 70c | 44.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…75a4backed Over | 78c | 41.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a25…0d1abacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…f66cbacked Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…126bbacked Over | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…e063backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…9aabbacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…1eb6backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Over | 78c | 21.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…77cfbacked Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 0.5this page
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Croatia (-4.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.