TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x725d…42b0backed Over12c7,103$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.143735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over6c3,777$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over26c3,427$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.162,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under74c1,540$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3925857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under73c1,356$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.164472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over26c1,346$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over19c1,272$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.62,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under74c1,250$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.793,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c1,153$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c1,132$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.723,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c941.66$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c860.65$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.51,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over24c814.58$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.43855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under76c804.58$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.144130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under74c799.99$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20821957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over18c523.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9532739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over7c497.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over4c484.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c441.55$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.052,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over28c368.21$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over16c358.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5940912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over25c345.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over10c343.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.342,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over6c340$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.957471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over19c309.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.251,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Over27c293.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under74c267.22$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.431,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe123…f640backed Under76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.56152.5%32 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over17c237$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9833438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over26c228.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4522135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over63c224.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.822560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under76c216.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7076…6adcbacked Under76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under70c194$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over26c190$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.427637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over29c184$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3641551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over31c181.76$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9516641%68 W · 98 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under25c156.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2243737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over27c155.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4223729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over16c145$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.230836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb3a…4007backed Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.858252.4%43 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2055…2a7abacked Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.858850%44 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3332356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7971…8dd0backed Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373f…36fcbacked Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over29c110$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.977051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over25c103.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8f…faf6backed Over26c100.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.26747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Over14c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over30c85.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7579149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7116…562abacked Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020339.4%80 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over24c80.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1848328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over29c79.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1730547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015344.4%68 W · 85 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under75c70.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.863,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over25c66.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.481,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under77c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.982,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Over25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.832855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Under75c50.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6712860.2%77 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over30c37.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1117047.6%81 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under75c36.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.372,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Over29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.437352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Over30c35.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5248055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under76c35.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.582,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under72c29.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.272,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.161,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8970…f311backed Under80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under74c22.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.741,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.722,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.942,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under75c21.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4786656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Under75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510548.6%51 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.22,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under77c18.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.234731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under74c16.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2478559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabca…8cd7backed Under76c15.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.732441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8242554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0865036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.