Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42e4a1202f6e13038b5a6da1024b97e08cacd869b0b059d2a3403f79e645fb77

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ghanaof Croatia, Ghana
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $345,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $349,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,724 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Croatia	37c	31,364$11,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,457.99	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ghana	69c	27,769$19,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,673.82	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ghana	67c	24,111$16,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,996.51	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ghana	72c	21,257$15,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,878.75	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Croatia	27c	10,552$2,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,854.01	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Croatia	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Croatia	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Croatia	26c	9,569$2,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.14	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Ghana	73c	9,160$6,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,473.33	50	80%40 W · 10 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Croatia	23c	9,100$2,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,093	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked Ghana	73c	8,940$6,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,413.8	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Croatia	24c	8,333$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Croatia	27c	7,287$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Croatia	27c	6,813$1,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,816.8	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Ghana	73c	6,462$4,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,744.74	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Croatia	13c	6,378$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.99	107	32.7%35 W · 72 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ghana	80c	6,121$4,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,226.49	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Croatia	28c	5,555$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,555.4	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Croatia	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Ghana	73c	5,000$3,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	100	59%59 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Ghana	74c	4,091$3,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.55	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Ghana	73c	3,973$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.71	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Ghana	75c	3,887$2,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.75	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Croatia	26c	3,846$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Croatia	44c	3,743$1,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,638.76	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Croatia	27c	3,704$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Ghana	75c	3,626$2,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$905.28	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Croatia	22c	3,600$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.98	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Ghana	59c	3,500$2,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,435	104	71.2%74 W · 30 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Croatia	26c	3,445$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.75	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Croatia	26c	3,133$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.66	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Croatia	41c	3,000$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230	160	41.3%66 W · 94 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Ghana	61c	2,932$1,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134.32	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6cc…6f75backed Croatia	42c	2,676$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124	201	46.8%94 W · 107 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Croatia	29c	2,414$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ghana	74c	2,101$1,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.39	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked Croatia	24c	2,083$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	96	30.2%29 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Ghana	74c	2,048$1,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.47	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Croatia	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	115	31.3%36 W · 79 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Ghana	72c	2,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Croatia	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ghana	71c	1,891$1,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.12	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Croatia	27c	1,664$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.85	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Ghana	73c	1,626$1,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.92	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Croatia	27c	1,503$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.88	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ghana	73c	1,474$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.28	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Ghana	73c	1,444$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.83	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ghana	73c	1,279$933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.92	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Croatia	30c	1,253$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Croatia	27c	1,250$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.14	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Ghana	76c	1,224$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.68	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Croatia	14c	1,165$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.05	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Croatia	43c	1,160$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.78	135	54.8%74 W · 61 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Croatia	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	165	49.1%81 W · 84 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Croatia	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Croatia	28c	1,089$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ghana	72c	1,041$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.34	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Ghana	73c	1,005$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.26	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Croatia	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Ghana	73c	999$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.73	97	70.1%68 W · 29 L	+12.0wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x17e6…86b1backed Ghana	73c	958.9$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.9	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…4eb2backed Ghana	75c	933.33$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.33	75	29.3%22 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Croatia	38c	912.73$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.32	110	20%22 W · 88 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Croatia	34c	866$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.38	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe3…f648backed Croatia	30c	804.37$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.55	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Croatia	16c	758.24$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.39	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Croatia	27c	714.47$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.16	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e08…b249backed Ghana	70c	711.17$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.17	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Ghana	70c	696.35$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.75	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Croatia	30c	684.62$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Ghana	77c	682.32$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.36	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd671…534fbacked Ghana	59c	665.61$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.33	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Ghana	72c	664.2$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.98	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Croatia	15c	651.47$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.69	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Croatia	10c	608.09$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.59	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Ghana	73c	600$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	59	62.7%37 W · 22 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b9…a053backed Croatia	41c	600$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x034f…b1abbacked Croatia	29c	588$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4495…e6d7backed Ghana	75c	564.87$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.22	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Croatia	12c	555.98$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.39	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb24…d79fbacked Ghana	80c	537.48$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.5	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c30…1d10backed Croatia	42c	511.12$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.67	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Croatia	32c	505.65$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.72	199	35.2%70 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…b870backed Ghana	74c	500$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c45…8652backed Croatia	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+227.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08cd…f35fbacked Croatia	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	95	40%38 W · 57 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4301…ac39backed Croatia	33c	417.81$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.43	129	37.2%48 W · 81 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ghana	73c	410$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.7	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Croatia	28c	407.14$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Ghana	74c	405.41$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.41	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Croatia	28c	400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Croatia	27c	400$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc14c…f8afbacked Croatia	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…a7fcbacked Croatia	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	118	23.7%28 W · 90 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Croatia	27c	367.86$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.32	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Croatia	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	345	37.1%128 W · 217 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x126f…a49dbacked Croatia	34c	338.26$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.76	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Croatia	25c	333$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.25	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Croatia	35c	327.99$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.68	241	36.9%89 W · 152 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Croatia	27c	300$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)this page
Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Ghana won
Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Ghana won
Spread: Croatia (-4.5)Ghana won
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Croatia won
Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event